Indonesian Stocks · daily candles · EWMA/GARCH statistical model
Volatility clusters: turbulent days tend to follow turbulent days, and calm follows calm. That makes the SIZE of future moves statistically forecastable even though their direction is not. TraderAI models each symbol's return series with EWMA (RiskMetrics λ=0.94) and a variance-targeting GARCH(1,1) to project the expected move for the next bar and the next ~24 hours, then places today's reading in the context of the symbol's own history (percentiles, Bollinger-width squeeze detection).
Volatility forecasts estimate the size of likely moves, never the direction. Educational only, not financial advice.