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Liquidation Map Accuracy

We score our own map against public history, walk-forward. Here are the numbers.

Realised liquidations

The map is a model. These are the liquidations that actually happened, published by the exchange - so the model can be graded against them rather than against itself.

Predictions scored

Not enough scored predictions yet to draw a conclusion.

Method

For each bar we rebuild the map using only data available before it, take the nearest magnet on each side, then look forward a fixed window. "Reached" means price traded to that level. Because a nearby level is reached by noise alone, every reach is compared with a baseline: how often price covered the SAME distance in the OPPOSITE direction, where the map claims no magnet. The published figure is the difference.

An edge near zero means the map has no predictive content, however high its raw reach rate. That is the honest yardstick, and we publish it either way.

Back to the Liquidation Map